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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valenzana v Biellese: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy

Valenzana

LLDWW
3–0
FT

Biellese

LWLWW
Valenzana 21%Draw 22%Biellese 57% Expected goals 1.50 – 2.44
79%
Betarazi pick

Biellese or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBiellese to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceBiellese or draw ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Valenzana vs Biellese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 28 October the Coppa Italia Serie D brings Valenzana against Biellese. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.

Current form

Valenzana, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ligorna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Biellese, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Alessandria, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Biellese, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Valenzana.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Oct 2026) it ended Biellese 4–1 Valenzana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valenzana 1.5 xG, Biellese 2.4 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valenzana 21%, draw 22%, Biellese 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: Biellese or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Biellese or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valenzana 1–2 Biellese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valenzana21%fair 4.73 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.60
Biellese57%fair 1.77 · @1.80
3.95Expected goals
1.50Valenzana xG
2.44Biellese xG
59%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–17%
1–37%
2–27%
0–26%
2–15%

From our goals model: Valenzana 1.5 – 2.4 Biellese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBiellese to win ✗57%1.771.80
Double chanceBiellese or draw ✗79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.71–
Draw no betBiellese (draw no bet) ✗73%1.37–
Asian handicapValenzana +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗56%1.80–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
First team to scoreBiellese to score first ✗61%1.65–
Half-time resultBiellese ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Biellese / FT Biellese ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Valenzana – last 6

LLDWWL
25 Octvs Ligorna0–1L
18 Oct@ Biellese1–4L
11 Octvs Sanremese1–1D
7 Octvs Saluzzo3–2W
4 Oct@ Fezzanese2–1W
27 Sepvs Borgosesia1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Biellese – last 6

LWLWWW
25 Oct@ Alessandria0–2L
18 Octvs Valenzana4–1W
11 Oct@ Imperia1–2L
7 Octvs Alessandria3–2W
4 Octvs Gozzano4–1W
27 Sep@ Sestri Levante2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Oct 2026Biellese v Valenzana4–1
Valenzana vs Biellese head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie D predictions

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FT Real Normanna6 L'Aquila0 162%1.42X21%4.10216%5.75 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.53 ✓
FT Piacenza2 Sasso Marconi Zola0 165%1.44X21%4.20213%5.50 1.9–0.7xG 1Piacenza to win 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Teramo0 Latte Dolce2 164%1.44X18%4.20217%5.50 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.53 ✗
FT Villa Valle1 Brusaporto0 149%2.00X22%3.25228%3.30 1.6–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 52%@1.70 ✓
FT Prato1 Ternana2 163%1.62X21%3.50216%4.75 2.3–1.1xG 1XPrato or draw 84%@1.33 ✗
FT Robur Siena2 Ancona2 Pens 3–5 140%2.30X21%3.40239%2.60 1.4–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 51%@1.95 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valenzana vs Biellese?

Our pick is Biellese or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Valenzana vs Biellese?

On our numbers Valenzana have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Biellese 57%.

How many goals will there be in Valenzana vs Biellese?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valenzana vs Biellese?

Our predicted score is Valenzana 1–2 Biellese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Valenzana vs Biellese?

Valenzana vs Biellese (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.