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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Prato v Ternana: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy

Prato

DDWWD
1–2
FT

Ternana

WWWDW
Prato 63%Draw 21%Ternana 16% Expected goals 2.31 – 1.11
84%
Betarazi pick

Prato or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.33Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPrato to win ✗63% · @1.62
Double chancePrato or draw ✗84% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55% · fair 1.81
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Prato vs Ternana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 28 October the Coppa Italia Serie D brings Prato against Ternana. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.

Current form

Prato, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Flaminia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Ternana, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Progresso, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Prato 1–0 Ternana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Prato 2.3 xG, Ternana 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Prato 63%, draw 21%, Ternana 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Prato or draw (84%) at 1.33.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Prato or draw (84%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Prato 2–1 Ternana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Prato63%fair 1.59 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Ternana16%fair 6.39 · @4.75
3.43Expected goals
2.31Prato xG
1.11Ternana xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Prato 2.3 – 1.1 Ternana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPrato to win ✗63%1.591.62
Double chancePrato or draw ✗84%1.191.33 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.90–
Draw no betPrato (draw no bet) ✗80%1.25–
Asian handicapPrato -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.842.25 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
First team to scorePrato to score first ✗65%1.53–
Half-time resultPrato ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Prato / FT Prato ✗42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Prato – last 6

DDWWDW
25 Octvs Flaminia1–1D
18 Oct@ Gavorrano1–1D
11 Octvs San Donato Tavarnelle2–0W
7 Oct@ Terranuova Traiana3–0W
3 Oct@ Terranuova Traiana1–1D
27 Sepvs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ternana – last 6

WWWDWD
25 Oct@ Progresso1–0W
21 Octvs Recanatese5–1W
18 Octvs Robur Siena2–1W
11 Oct@ Lucchese2–2D
4 Octvs Montevarchi Calcio4–1W
27 Sep@ Scandicci0–0D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Prato v Ternana1–0
Prato vs Ternana head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie D predictions

League hub
FT Valenzana3 Biellese0 121%3.60X22%3.60257%1.80 1.5–2.4xG X2Biellese or draw 79%@1.22 ✗
FT Caldiero Terme0 Cjarlins Muzane1 140%2.60X21%3.40239%2.30 1.3–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 52%@1.75 ✗
FT Gelbison0 Igea Virtus1 139%2.45X22%3.30239%2.50 2.0–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.75 ✗
FT Real Normanna6 L'Aquila0 162%1.42X21%4.10216%5.75 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.53 ✓
FT Piacenza2 Sasso Marconi Zola0 165%1.44X21%4.20213%5.50 1.9–0.7xG 1Piacenza to win 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Teramo0 Latte Dolce2 164%1.44X18%4.20217%5.50 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.53 ✗
FT Villa Valle1 Brusaporto0 149%2.00X22%3.25228%3.30 1.6–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 52%@1.70 ✓
FT Robur Siena2 Ancona2 Pens 3–5 140%2.30X21%3.40239%2.60 1.4–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 51%@1.95 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Prato vs Ternana?

Our pick is Prato or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Prato vs Ternana?

On our numbers Prato have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ternana 16%.

How many goals will there be in Prato vs Ternana?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Prato vs Ternana?

Our predicted score is Prato 2–1 Ternana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Prato vs Ternana?

Prato vs Ternana (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.