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Gelbison v Igea Virtus: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy

Gelbison

LWLDL
0–1
FT

Igea Virtus

DWLWD
Gelbison 39%Draw 22%Igea Virtus 39% Expected goals 1.96 – 1.96
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultIgea Virtus to win ✓39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.64
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.75
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.36

Gelbison vs Igea Virtus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 28 October the Coppa Italia Serie D brings Gelbison against Igea Virtus. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT.

Current form

Gelbison, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Sarrabus Ogliastra, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Igea Virtus, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Enna, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Gelbison 1–1 Igea Virtus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gelbison 2.0 xG, Igea Virtus 2.0 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gelbison 39%, draw 22%, Igea Virtus 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gelbison 1–2 Igea Virtus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gelbison39%fair 2.56 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Igea Virtus39%fair 2.54 · @2.50
3.92Expected goals
1.96Gelbison xG
1.96Igea Virtus xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–27%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%

From our goals model: Gelbison 2.0 – 2.0 Igea Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIgea Virtus to win ✓39%2.542.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.64–
Draw no betIgea Virtus (draw no bet) ✓50%1.99–
Asian handicapGelbison +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.551.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.55–
First team to scoreIgea Virtus to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓34%2.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Igea Virtus / FT Igea Virtus ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.36–

Recent results

Gelbison – last 6

LWLDLW
25 Oct@ Sarrabus Ogliastra0–3L
18 Octvs Ossese2–1W
11 Oct@ Città di Anagni1–3L
7 Oct@ Vigor Lamezia2–2D
4 Octvs Venafro0–1L
27 Sep@ Paganese3–2W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Igea Virtus – last 6

DWLWDL
25 Oct@ Enna2–2D
18 Octvs Ragusa3–1W
11 Oct@ CastrumFavara2–3L
7 Octvs Reggina3–2W
4 Octvs Nissa1–1D
27 Sep@ Reggina0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Gelbison v Igea Virtus1–1
Gelbison vs Igea Virtus head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie D predictions

League hub
FT Valenzana3 Biellese0 121%3.60X22%3.60257%1.80 1.5–2.4xG X2Biellese or draw 79%@1.22 ✗
FT Caldiero Terme0 Cjarlins Muzane1 140%2.60X21%3.40239%2.30 1.3–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 52%@1.75 ✗
FT Real Normanna6 L'Aquila0 162%1.42X21%4.10216%5.75 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.53 ✓
FT Piacenza2 Sasso Marconi Zola0 165%1.44X21%4.20213%5.50 1.9–0.7xG 1Piacenza to win 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Teramo0 Latte Dolce2 164%1.44X18%4.20217%5.50 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.53 ✗
FT Villa Valle1 Brusaporto0 149%2.00X22%3.25228%3.30 1.6–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 52%@1.70 ✓
FT Prato1 Ternana2 163%1.62X21%3.50216%4.75 2.3–1.1xG 1XPrato or draw 84%@1.33 ✗
FT Robur Siena2 Ancona2 Pens 3–5 140%2.30X21%3.40239%2.60 1.4–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 51%@1.95 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?

On our numbers Gelbison have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Igea Virtus 39%.

How many goals will there be in Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?

Our predicted score is Gelbison 1–2 Igea Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Gelbison vs Igea Virtus?

Gelbison vs Igea Virtus (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.