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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Torque v Cerro: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Luis Franzini

Atletico Torque

WLLWL
3–1
FT

Cerro

DWLDL
Atletico Torque 64%Draw 23%Cerro 14% Expected goals 1.84 – 0.71
64%
Betarazi pick

Atletico Torque to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Torque to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.98

Atletico Torque vs Cerro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Atletico Torque v Cerro in the Primera División Apertura, played at Estadio Luis Franzini. In the table, Atletico Torque are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Cerro are 9th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Atletico Torque, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico-MG, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Cerro, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cerro Largo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Cerro 1–1 Atletico Torque.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.8 xG, Cerro 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 64%, draw 23%, Cerro 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Atletico Torque to win (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–0 Cerro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Torque64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.75
Cerro14%fair 7.36 · @5.50
2.55Expected goals
1.84Atletico Torque xG
0.71Cerro xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.8 – 0.7 Cerro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Torque to win ✓64%1.571.57
Double chanceAtletico Torque or draw ✓86%1.161.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.951.83
Draw no betAtletico Torque (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapAtletico Torque -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreAtletico Torque to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultAtletico Torque ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque ✗41%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%6.98–

Recent results

Atletico Torque – last 6

WLLWLD
21 Octvs Atletico-MG2–0W
18 Oct@ Albion FC1–2L
14 Oct@ Atletico-MG0–3L
9 Octvs Danubio1–0W
6 Oct@ Club Nacional0–2L
1 Octvs Penarol1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cerro – last 6

DWLDLL
16 Octvs Cerro Largo1–1D
10 Oct@ Defensor Sporting3–2W
4 Octvs Wanderers0–2L
27 Sep@ Juventud0–0D
24 Sepvs Deportivo Maldonado1–2L
19 Sepvs Penarol1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Cerro v Atletico Torque1–1
Atletico Torque vs Cerro head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

League hub
FT Wanderers0 Progreso1 142%2.10X23%3.20235%3.25 1.3–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.75 ✗
FT Cerro Largo2 Boston River0 133%2.70X25%2.90243%2.62 1.0–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@1.91 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Cerro?

Our pick is Atletico Torque to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Atletico Torque vs Cerro?

On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cerro 14%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Cerro?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Cerro?

Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–0 Cerro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Atletico Torque vs Cerro?

Atletico Torque vs Cerro (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.