Value bet: Boston River to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBoston River to win ✗43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.64
Cerro Largo vs Boston River: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Primera División Apertura brings Cerro Largo against Boston River at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Cerro Largo are 15th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Boston River are 11th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Cerro Largo, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Liverpool Montevideo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Boston River, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Defensor Sporting, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Boston River, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Cerro Largo.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended Boston River 1–0 Cerro Largo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Largo 1.0 xG, Boston River 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Largo 33%, draw 25%, Boston River 43%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Boston River to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Largo 1–1 Boston River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro Largo33%fair 3.05 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Boston River43%fair 2.35 · @2.62
2.18Expected goals
0.99Cerro Largo xG
1.19Boston River xG
55%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cerro Largo 1.0 – 1.2 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
On our numbers Cerro Largo have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Boston River 43%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
Our predicted score is Cerro Largo 1–1 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
Cerro Largo vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
