Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: Mito Hollyhock v Cerezo Osaka in the J League Cup, played at Best Denki Stadium.
Current form
Mito Hollyhock, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to FC Tokyo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Cerezo Osaka, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with JEF United Chiba, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cerezo Osaka, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Mito Hollyhock.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mito Hollyhock 1.1 xG, Cerezo Osaka 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mito Hollyhock 17%, draw 26%, Cerezo Osaka 56%.
Lower-risk option: Cerezo Osaka or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Cerezo Osaka to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cerezo Osaka or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mito Hollyhock 1–2 Cerezo Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mito Hollyhock17%fair 5.85 · @3.40
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
Cerezo Osaka56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
3.20Expected goals
1.12Mito Hollyhock xG
2.08Cerezo Osaka xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 1.1 – 2.1 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✓
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Cerezo Osaka or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Draw no bet
Cerezo Osaka (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Mito Hollyhock +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Cerezo Osaka to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Cerezo Osaka ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Mito Hollyhock – last 6
LLLWLW
25 Oct
@ FC Tokyo
0–6
L
21 Oct
@ Fagiano Okayama
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Urawa
0–1
L
14 Oct
vs FC Tokyo
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Shimizu S-pulse
1–2
L
29 Sep
@ Fukushima United
7–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
DDLWDW
25 Oct
vs JEF United Chiba
2–2
D
21 Oct
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Kawasaki Frontale
2–4
L
14 Oct
@ Gainare Tottori
3–2
W
10 Oct
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–0
D
7 Oct
vs Kagoshima United
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mito Hollyhock and Cerezo Osaka.
What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Cerezo Osaka or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cerezo Osaka 56%.
How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 1–2 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sagan Tosu0
Kawasaki Frontale2
Yokohama F. Marinos4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Nagoya Grampus1
Urawa1