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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sagan Tosu v Kawasaki Frontale: numbers & prediction

J League Cup · Japan · Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
0–2
FT
Sagan Tosu 18%Draw 24%Kawasaki Frontale 58% Expected goals 0.95 – 1.85
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultKawasaki Frontale to win ✓58% · @1.70
Double chanceKawasaki Frontale or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 28 October the J League Cup brings Sagan Tosu against Kawasaki Frontale at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Sagan Tosu are 4th on 4 points after 6 matches; Kawasaki Frontale are 3rd with 8.

Current form

Sagan Tosu, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vanraure Hachinohe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Kawasaki Frontale, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fagiano Okayama, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Kawasaki Frontale, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Sagan Tosu.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sagan Tosu 0.9 xG, Kawasaki Frontale 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sagan Tosu 18%, draw 24%, Kawasaki Frontale 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kawasaki Frontale or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sagan Tosu 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sagan Tosu18%fair 5.50 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.40
Kawasaki Frontale58%fair 1.72 · @1.70
2.80Expected goals
0.95Sagan Tosu xG
1.85Kawasaki Frontale xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%

From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 0.9 – 1.9 Kawasaki Frontale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKawasaki Frontale to win ✓58%1.721.70
Double chanceKawasaki Frontale or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.70
Draw no betKawasaki Frontale (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapSagan Tosu +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreKawasaki Frontale to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultKawasaki Frontale ahead at half-time ✗42%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kawasaki Frontale / FT Kawasaki Frontale ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Sagan Tosu – last 6

WLWWWL
25 Octvs Vanraure Hachinohe2–0W
21 Oct@ Albirex Niigata1–2L
17 Octvs Omiya Ardija2–1W
14 Octvs Avispa Fukuoka2–1W
10 Octvs Fujieda MYFC1–0W
4 Oct@ Blaublitz Akita0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kawasaki Frontale – last 6

WWWWLW
25 Octvs Fagiano Okayama2–1W
21 Octvs Vissel Kobe2–1W
17 Oct@ Cerezo Osaka4–2W
14 Oct@ Jubilo Iwata4–0W
11 Octvs Nagoya Grampus1–2L
7 Octvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Kawasaki Frontale.

Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale head-to-head page →

J League Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Yokohama F. Marinos6501+915
2Consadole Sapporo6312+310
3Jubilo Iwata6204-16
4Sagan Tosu6114-114

More J League Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?

On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kawasaki Frontale 58%.

How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 1–1 Kawasaki Frontale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.