Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: Yokohama F. Marinos v Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J League Cup, played at Nissan Stadium. In the table, Yokohama F. Marinos are 1st on 15 points after 6 matches; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 9.
Current form
Yokohama F. Marinos, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nagoya Grampus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Shimizu S-pulse, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Yokohama F. Marinos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yokohama F. Marinos 0.6 xG, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yokohama F. Marinos 16%, draw 22%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62%.
Lower-risk option: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yokohama F. Marinos16%fair 6.21 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.40
Sanfrecce Hiroshima62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
2.25Expected goals
0.65Yokohama F. Marinos xG
1.60Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 0.6 – 1.6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✗
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Draw no bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Yokohama F. Marinos – last 6
DDDWDW
25 Oct
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–1
D
21 Oct
vs Tokyo Verdy
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ JEF United Chiba
0–0
D
14 Oct
vs Shimizu S-pulse
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–0
D
7 Oct
vs Kyoto Sangyo University
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
WLWWWW
24 Oct
vs Shimizu S-pulse
4–0
W
21 Oct
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs Kyoto Sanga
3–0
W
14 Oct
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Tokyo Verdy
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Iwaki
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yokohama F. Marinos and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62%.
How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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