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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Airdrie United v Elgin City: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Albert Bartlett Stadium
5–0
FT
Airdrie United 63%Draw 21%Elgin City 15% Expected goals 2.35 – 1.11
85%
Betarazi pick

Airdrie United or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Airdrie United to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAirdrie United to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceAirdrie United or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Airdrie United vs Elgin City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Airdrie United welcome Elgin City to Albert Bartlett Stadium for a Challenge Cup fixture on Tuesday 3 November (20:45 WAT).

Current form

Airdrie United, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cove Rangers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Elgin City, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kelty Hearts, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Elgin City, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Airdrie United.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Airdrie United 1–1 Elgin City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Airdrie United 2.4 xG, Elgin City 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Airdrie United 63%, draw 21%, Elgin City 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Airdrie United or draw (85%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Airdrie United to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Airdrie United or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Airdrie United 2–1 Elgin City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Airdrie United63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.70
Elgin City15%fair 6.62 · @4.00
3.47Expected goals
2.35Airdrie United xG
1.11Elgin City xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Airdrie United 2.4 – 1.1 Elgin City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAirdrie United to win ✓63%1.581.70 ▲
Double chanceAirdrie United or draw ✓85%1.181.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.62
Draw no betAirdrie United (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapAirdrie United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.201.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.741.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.321.20
First team to scoreAirdrie United to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultAirdrie United ahead at half-time ✓48%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Airdrie United / FT Airdrie United ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Airdrie United – last 6

LLLWDW
31 Octvs Cove Rangers0–1L
24 Oct@ Ross County0–4L
17 Octvs Hamilton Academical1–2L
13 Octvs Hearts U213–2W
10 Oct@ East Kilbride2–2D
3 Octvs Montrose1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Elgin City – last 6

WWDLWW
31 Oct@ Kelty Hearts1–0W
24 Oct@ Stirling University2–1W
17 Octvs Edinburgh City0–0D
13 Octvs Aberdeen U210–1L
10 Oct@ Forfar Athletic2–1W
3 Octvs Clyde6–2W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jun 2026Airdrie United v Elgin City1–1
Airdrie United vs Elgin City head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Airdrie United vs Elgin City?

Our pick is Airdrie United or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Airdrie United vs Elgin City?

On our numbers Airdrie United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Elgin City 15%.

How many goals will there be in Airdrie United vs Elgin City?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Airdrie United vs Elgin City?

Our predicted score is Airdrie United 2–1 Elgin City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Airdrie United vs Elgin City?

Airdrie United vs Elgin City (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Albert Bartlett Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.