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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arbroath v Queen of the South: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Gayfield Park

Arbroath

LLLLL
1–0
FT

Queen of the South

LWLLW
Arbroath 64%Draw 20%Queen of the South 16% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.89
64%
Betarazi pick

Arbroath to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultArbroath to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceArbroath or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Arbroath vs Queen of the South: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 3 November: Arbroath v Queen of the South in the Challenge Cup, played at Gayfield Park.

Current form

Arbroath, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Raith Rovers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Queen of the South, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to East Fife, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Queen of the South, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Arbroath.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arbroath 2.0 xG, Queen of the South 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arbroath 64%, draw 20%, Queen of the South 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Arbroath or draw (84%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Arbroath to win (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arbroath 2–0 Queen of the South. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arbroath64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.75
Queen of the South16%fair 6.28 · @4.33
2.91Expected goals
2.02Arbroath xG
0.89Queen of the South xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Arbroath 2.0 – 0.9 Queen of the South expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArbroath to win ✓64%1.561.62
Double chanceArbroath or draw ✓84%1.191.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.57
Draw no betArbroath (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapArbroath -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.241.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.711.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.25
First team to scoreArbroath to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultArbroath ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arbroath / FT Arbroath ✗41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Arbroath – last 6

LLLLLW
31 Octvs Raith Rovers0–4L
24 Oct@ Livingston0–1L
17 Oct@ Inverness CT0–2L
10 Octvs Morton1–2L
3 Oct@ Partick0–3L
25 Sepvs Queen's Park2–1W
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Queen of the South – last 6

LWLLWW
31 Oct@ East Fife0–2L
24 Oct@ Alloa Athletic1–0W
17 Octvs Ross County1–7L
13 Oct@ Berwick Rangers0–1L
10 Oct@ Peterhead1–0W
3 Octvs Cove Rangers4–3W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arbroath and Queen of the South.

Arbroath vs Queen of the South head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Aberdeen U211 Queen's Park1 Pens 2–4 120%3.70X17%4.33263%1.65 1.1–2.1xG 2Queen's Park to win 63%@1.65 ✗
FT Airdrie United5 Elgin City0 163%1.70X21%3.70215%4.00 2.4–1.1xG 1XAirdrie United or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Annan Athletic0 Ayr Utd2 113%5.50X23%4.00264%1.45 0.8–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.67 ✓
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2 Dunfermline4 118%8.00X17%4.75265%1.28 1.1–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Clydebank1 Alloa Athletic0 141%2.50X20%3.60239%2.35 1.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.50 ✗
FT East Kilbride7 Stirling Albion3 163%1.50X22%4.00215%5.25 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.48 ✓
FT Edinburgh City0 Partick3 117%5.25X20%4.33263%1.45 0.9–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✓
FT Formartine United0 Cove Rangers2 116%3.70X25%3.40259%1.80 1.2–2.3xG X2Cove Rangers or draw 84%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arbroath vs Queen of the South?

Our pick is Arbroath to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Arbroath vs Queen of the South?

On our numbers Arbroath have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Queen of the South 16%.

How many goals will there be in Arbroath vs Queen of the South?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arbroath vs Queen of the South?

Our predicted score is Arbroath 2–0 Queen of the South, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Arbroath vs Queen of the South?

Arbroath vs Queen of the South (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Gayfield Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.