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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic v Dunfermline: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · New Dundas Park

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

DLDDL
2–4
FT

Dunfermline

WWWDD
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 18%Draw 17%Dunfermline 65% Expected goals 1.09 – 2.26
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultDunfermline to win ✓65% · @1.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dunfermline: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 3 November the Challenge Cup brings Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic against Dunfermline at New Dundas Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.

Current form

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lochee United, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Dunfermline, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Inverness CT, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Dunfermline, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1.1 xG, Dunfermline 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 18%, draw 17%, Dunfermline 65%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1–2 Dunfermline. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic18%fair 5.48 · @8.00
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @4.75
Dunfermline65%fair 1.54 · @1.28
3.34Expected goals
1.09Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic xG
2.26Dunfermline xG
58%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1.1 – 2.3 Dunfermline expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDunfermline to win ✓65%1.541.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.80
Draw no betDunfermline (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapDunfermline -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.181.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.771.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗74%1.351.28
First team to scoreDunfermline to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultDunfermline ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dunfermline / FT Dunfermline ✓42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic – last 6

DLDDLW
31 Oct@ Lochee United2–2D
27 Octvs Bo'ness United0–1L
17 Oct@ Cowdenbeath2–2D
13 Oct@ Spartans1–1D
3 Oct@ Clachnacuddin0–2L
26 Sepvs Motherwell U213–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Dunfermline – last 6

WWWDDD
31 Octvs Inverness CT5–1W
27 Oct@ Stenhousemuir1–0W
24 Oct@ Queen's Park1–0W
20 Octvs Partick1–1D
17 Octvs Livingston0–0D
10 Oct@ Ayr Utd1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and Dunfermline.

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dunfermline head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Aberdeen U211 Queen's Park1 Pens 2–4 120%3.70X17%4.33263%1.65 1.1–2.1xG 2Queen's Park to win 63%@1.65 ✗
FT Airdrie United5 Elgin City0 163%1.70X21%3.70215%4.00 2.4–1.1xG 1XAirdrie United or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Annan Athletic0 Ayr Utd2 113%5.50X23%4.00264%1.45 0.8–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.67 ✓
FT Arbroath1 Queen of the South0 164%1.62X20%3.75216%4.33 2.0–0.9xG 1Arbroath to win 64%@1.62 ✓
FT Clydebank1 Alloa Athletic0 141%2.50X20%3.60239%2.35 1.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.50 ✗
FT East Kilbride7 Stirling Albion3 163%1.50X22%4.00215%5.25 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.48 ✓
FT Edinburgh City0 Partick3 117%5.25X20%4.33263%1.45 0.9–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✓
FT Formartine United0 Cove Rangers2 116%3.70X25%3.40259%1.80 1.2–2.3xG X2Cove Rangers or draw 84%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dunfermline?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dunfermline?

On our numbers Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Dunfermline 65%.

How many goals will there be in Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dunfermline?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dunfermline?

Our predicted score is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1–2 Dunfermline, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dunfermline?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dunfermline (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at New Dundas Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.