Racing Montevideo 60%Draw 25%Cerro Largo 15%Expected goals 1.51 – 0.58
60%
Betarazi pick
Racing Montevideo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultRacing Montevideo to win ✓60% · @1.73
Double chanceRacing Montevideo or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.37
Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Racing Montevideo welcome Cerro Largo to Estadio Osvaldo Roberto for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Saturday 31 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Racing Montevideo are 6th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Cerro Largo are 15th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Racing Montevideo, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Defensor Sporting, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Cerro Largo, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Boston River, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Racing Montevideo 1–0 Cerro Largo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Montevideo 1.5 xG, Cerro Largo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Montevideo 60%, draw 25%, Cerro Largo 15%.
Lower-risk option: Racing Montevideo or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Racing Montevideo to win (60%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Montevideo 1–0 Cerro Largo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Montevideo60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.30
Cerro Largo15%fair 6.82 · @4.80
2.09Expected goals
1.51Racing Montevideo xG
0.58Cerro Largo xG
47%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Racing Montevideo 1.5 – 0.6 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Our pick is Racing Montevideo to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
On our numbers Racing Montevideo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cerro Largo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Our predicted score is Racing Montevideo 1–0 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Racing Montevideo vs Cerro Largo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Roberto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
