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Cerro v Central Espanol: numbers & prediction

Cerro

LDWLD
1–2
FT
Cerro 45%Draw 25%Central Espanol 30% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.01
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerro to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63

Cerro vs Central Espanol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Cerro v Central Espanol in the Primera División Apertura. In the table, Cerro are 9th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Central Espanol are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

Cerro, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Atletico Torque, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Central Espanol, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Albion FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Cerro, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for Central Espanol.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Cerro 1–0 Central Espanol. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cerro 1 win, Central Espanol 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerro 1.3 xG, Central Espanol 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro 45%, draw 25%, Central Espanol 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro 1–1 Central Espanol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerro45%fair 2.20 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Central Espanol30%fair 3.34 · @3.20
2.34Expected goals
1.33Cerro xG
1.01Central Espanol xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–09%

From our goals model: Cerro 1.3 – 1.0 Central Espanol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerro to win ✗45%2.202.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.91
Draw no betCerro (draw no bet) ✗60%1.66–
Asian handicapCentral Espanol +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.71–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreCerro to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerro / FT Cerro ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.63–

Recent results

Cerro – last 6

LDWLDL
25 Oct@ Atletico Torque1–3L
16 Octvs Cerro Largo1–1D
10 Oct@ Defensor Sporting3–2W
4 Octvs Wanderers0–2L
27 Sep@ Juventud0–0D
24 Sepvs Deportivo Maldonado1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Central Espanol – last 6

LLLLLL
24 Octvs Albion FC1–3L
18 Oct@ Danubio0–1L
15 Octvs Danubio0–6L
11 Octvs Club Nacional0–1L
3 Oct@ Deportivo Maldonado0–3L
27 Sepvs Liverpool Montevideo1–2L
0.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Cerro v Central Espanol1–0
26 Apr 2026Central Espanol v Cerro3–1
Cerro vs Central Espanol head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerro vs Central Espanol?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Cerro vs Central Espanol?

On our numbers Cerro have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Central Espanol 30%.

How many goals will there be in Cerro vs Central Espanol?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerro vs Central Espanol?

Our predicted score is Cerro 1–1 Central Espanol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Cerro vs Central Espanol?

Cerro vs Central Espanol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.