Maruinense vs Socorro Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maruinense welcome Socorro Sport for a Sergipano 2 fixture on Wednesday 4 November (19:00 WAT). In the table, Maruinense are 2nd, among the top four, on 9 points after 4 matches; Socorro Sport are 4th (among the top four) with 4.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maruinense 1.1 xG, Socorro Sport 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maruinense 35%, draw 21%, Socorro Sport 44%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maruinense 1–1 Socorro Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maruinense35%fair 2.87 · @3.04
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.42
Socorro Sport44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
2.49Expected goals
1.15Maruinense xG
1.34Socorro Sport xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Maruinense 1.1 – 1.3 Socorro Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Socorro Sport to win✗
44%
2.27
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Draw no bet
Socorro Sport (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Maruinense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Socorro Sport to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Socorro Sport / FT Socorro Sport
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Maruinense – last 2
LW
1 Nov
@ Estanciano
0–1
L
29 Oct
vs Frei Paulistano
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Socorro Sport – last 2
WD
1 Nov
vs Independente Simão Dias
5–0
W
29 Oct
@ Barra SE
0–0
D
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maruinense and Socorro Sport.
What is the prediction for Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
On our numbers Maruinense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Socorro Sport 44%.
How many goals will there be in Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
Our predicted score is Maruinense 1–1 Socorro Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Maruinense vs Socorro Sport?
Maruinense vs Socorro Sport (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
