Estanciano vs Frei Paulistano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Frei Paulistano travel to face Estanciano on Wednesday 4 November in the Sergipano 2 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Estanciano are 3rd, among the top four, on 7 points after 4 matches; Frei Paulistano are 1st (leading the league) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estanciano 1.8 xG, Frei Paulistano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estanciano 55%, draw 23%, Frei Paulistano 22%.
Lower-risk option: Estanciano or draw (78%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.59.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Estanciano or draw (78%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estanciano 1–1 Frei Paulistano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estanciano55%fair 1.83 · @1.89
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.50
Frei Paulistano22%fair 4.50 · @3.25
2.81Expected goals
1.77Estanciano xG
1.04Frei Paulistano xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Estanciano 1.8 – 1.0 Frei Paulistano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estanciano to win✗
55%
1.83
1.89
Double chance
Estanciano or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.59
Draw no bet
Estanciano (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Frei Paulistano +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
First team to score
Estanciano to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estanciano / FT Estanciano
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Estanciano – last 2
WD
1 Nov
vs Maruinense
1–0
W
29 Oct
@ Independente Simão Dias
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Frei Paulistano – last 2
WL
1 Nov
vs Barra SE
5–0
W
29 Oct
@ Maruinense
1–2
L
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estanciano and Frei Paulistano.
What is the prediction for Estanciano vs Frei Paulistano?
Our pick is Estanciano or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Estanciano vs Frei Paulistano?
On our numbers Estanciano have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Frei Paulistano 22%.
How many goals will there be in Estanciano vs Frei Paulistano?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estanciano vs Frei Paulistano?
Our predicted score is Estanciano 1–1 Frei Paulistano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Estanciano vs Frei Paulistano?
Estanciano vs Frei Paulistano (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
