Independente Simão Dias 34%Draw 21%Barra SE 45%Expected goals 1.35 – 1.60
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.37Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarra SE to win ✗45% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independente Simão Dias welcome Barra SE for a Sergipano 2 fixture on Wednesday 4 November (19:00 WAT). In the table, Independente Simão Dias are 6th, upper half, on 2 points after 4 matches; Barra SE are 5th (upper half) with 2. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independente Simão Dias 1.3 xG, Barra SE 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independente Simão Dias 34%, draw 21%, Barra SE 45%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.56.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independente Simão Dias 1–1 Barra SE. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independente Simão Dias34%fair 2.95 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Barra SE45%fair 2.21 · @2.04
2.95Expected goals
1.35Independente Simão Dias xG
1.60Barra SE xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Independente Simão Dias 1.3 – 1.6 Barra SE expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barra SE to win✗
45%
2.21
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.56
Draw no bet
Barra SE (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Independente Simão Dias +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.37
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.10
First team to score
Barra SE to score first✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barra SE / FT Barra SE
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Independente Simão Dias – last 2
LD
1 Nov
@ Socorro Sport
0–5
L
29 Oct
vs Estanciano
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barra SE – last 2
LD
1 Nov
@ Frei Paulistano
0–5
L
29 Oct
vs Socorro Sport
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independente Simão Dias and Barra SE.
What is the prediction for Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE?
On our numbers Independente Simão Dias have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barra SE 45%.
How many goals will there be in Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE?
Our predicted score is Independente Simão Dias 1–1 Barra SE, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE?
Independente Simão Dias vs Barra SE (Sergipano 2) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
