Value bet: Minija to win @ 2.38 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultMinija to win48% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.07
Minija vs Šiauliai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 15 November: Minija v Šiauliai in the A Lyga, played at Kretinga Stadium.
Current form
Minija, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Babrungas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Šiauliai, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Panevėžys, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Minija 1.9 xG, Šiauliai 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Minija 48%, draw 21%, Šiauliai 31%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.58.
Price worth noting: Minija to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 48%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Minija 1–1 Šiauliai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Minija48%fair 2.08 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.42
Šiauliai31%fair 3.20 · @2.44
2.98Expected goals
1.92Minija xG
1.06Šiauliai xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Minija 1.9 – 1.1 Šiauliai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minija to win
48%
2.08
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.58
Draw no bet
Minija (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Šiauliai +1.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.80
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.10
First team to score
Minija to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Minija ahead at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minija / FT Minija
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Minija – last 6
DWDWLL
11 Nov
@ Babrungas
0–0
D
7 Nov
vs Garliava
2–0
W
4 Nov
@ Tauras
3–3
D
31 Oct
vs Atmosfera
3–1
W
24 Oct
@ BFA
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Babrungas
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Šiauliai – last 6
WWDLDL
8 Nov
@ Panevėžys
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs Džiugas Telšiai
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Banga
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Kauno Žalgiris
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Hegelmann Litauen
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Minija and Šiauliai.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Minija vs Šiauliai?
On our numbers Minija have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Šiauliai 31%.
How many goals will there be in Minija vs Šiauliai?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Minija vs Šiauliai?
Our predicted score is Minija 1–1 Šiauliai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Minija vs Šiauliai?
Minija vs Šiauliai (A Lyga) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kretinga Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
