Republic of Ireland U21 v Moldova U21 Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultRepublic of Ireland U21 to win ✗67% · @1.22

Double chanceRepublic of Ireland U21 or draw ✓86% · @1.01

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.15

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Republic of Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:15 WAT, Thursday 26 March: Republic of Ireland U21 v Moldova U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification, played at Tallaght Stadium. In the table, Republic of Ireland U21 are 7th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 8 matches; Moldova U21 are 3rd (among the top four) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Republic of Ireland U21 2.1 xG, Moldova U21 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Republic of Ireland U21 67%, draw 19%, Moldova U21 14%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Republic of Ireland U21 2–0 Moldova U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Republic of Ireland U2167%fair 1.49 · @1.22

Draw19%fair 5.14 · @5.00

Moldova U2114%fair 7.34 · @12.00

3.11Expected goals

2.11Republic of Ireland U21 xG

1.00Moldova U21 xG

53%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

2–110%

1–09%

1–19%

3–07%

3–17%

From our goals model: Republic of Ireland U21 2.1 – 1.0 Moldova U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Republic of Ireland U21	Moldova U21
Attack vs UEFA U21 Championship Qualification average	+21%	-9%
Goals conceded vs average	-10%	-7%
Our expected goals here	2.09	1.22

Republic of Ireland U21

Moldova U21

Attack vs UEFA U21 Championship Qualification average

+21%

-9%

Goals conceded vs average

-10%

-7%

Our expected goals here

2.09

1.22

Our own ratings from every UEFA U21 Championship Qualification result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Republic of Ireland U21 to win ✗	67%	1.49	1.22
Double chance	Republic of Ireland U21 or draw ✓	86%	1.16	1.01
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.89	2.15 ▲
Draw no bet	Republic of Ireland U21 (draw no bet)	83%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	Republic of Ireland U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.71	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	63%	1.58	1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	80%	1.26	–
First team to score	Republic of Ireland U21 to score first	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Republic of Ireland U21 ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.17	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Republic of Ireland U21 / FT Republic of Ireland U21 ✗	41%	2.47	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.07	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Republic of Ireland U21 to win ✗

67%

1.49

1.22

Double chance

Republic of Ireland U21 or draw ✓

86%

1.16

1.01

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

53%

1.89

2.15 ▲

Draw no bet

Republic of Ireland U21 (draw no bet)

83%

1.20

–

Asian handicap

Republic of Ireland U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗

63%

1.59

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

80%

1.25

1.20

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

58%

1.71

1.65

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

63%

1.58

1.45

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

80%

1.26

–

First team to score

Republic of Ireland U21 to score first

65%

1.54

–

Half-time result

Republic of Ireland U21 ahead at half-time ✗

46%

2.17

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Republic of Ireland U21 / FT Republic of Ireland U21 ✗

41%

2.47

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

10%

10.07

–

Recent results

Head to head

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands U21	10	8	2	0	+29	26
2	Switzerland U21	10	7	2	1	+16	23
3	Moldova U21	10	3	3	4	-5	12
4	Wales U21	10	3	2	5	+1	11
5	Bulgaria U21	10	2	4	4	-1	10
6	Gibraltar U21	10	0	1	9	-40	1

Team

Pts

+29

+16

-5

-1

-40

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Republic of Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Republic of Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21?

On our numbers Republic of Ireland U21 have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moldova U21 14%.

How many goals will there be in Republic of Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Republic of Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21?

Our predicted score is Republic of Ireland U21 2–0 Moldova U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Republic of Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21?

Republic of Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Republic of Ireland U21 v Moldova U21: numbers & prediction