Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIceland U21 to win ✓75% · @1.20
Double chanceIceland U21 or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Iceland U21 welcome Estonia U21 to Throttarvollur for a UEFA U21 Championship Qualification fixture on Thursday 26 March (17:00 WAT). In the table, Iceland U21 are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 8 matches; Estonia U21 are 6th (lower half) with 0. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iceland U21 2.6 xG, Estonia U21 0.8 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iceland U21 75%, draw 16%, Estonia U21 9%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Iceland U21 to win (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iceland U21 2–0 Estonia U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iceland U2175%fair 1.33 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.08 · @5.50
Estonia U219%fair 11.73 · @13.00
3.34Expected goals
2.57Iceland U21 xG
0.77Estonia U21 xG
57%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Iceland U21 2.6 – 0.8 Estonia U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Iceland U21
Estonia U21
Attack vs UEFA U21 Championship Qualification average
+26%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+23%
Our expected goals here
2.86
0.83
Our own ratings from every UEFA U21 Championship Qualification result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iceland U21 to win✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Double chance
Iceland U21 or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Iceland U21 (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Iceland U21 -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
First team to score
Iceland U21 to score first
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Iceland U21 ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iceland U21 / FT Iceland U21✓
52%
1.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Iceland U21
No recent results on record.
Estonia U21
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iceland U21 and Estonia U21.
What is the prediction for Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21?
Our pick is Iceland U21 to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21?
On our numbers Iceland U21 have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Estonia U21 9%.
How many goals will there be in Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21?
Our predicted score is Iceland U21 2–0 Estonia U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21?
Iceland U21 vs Estonia U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Throttarvollur.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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