Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 60% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFrance U21 to win ✓69% · @1.14
Double chanceFrance U21 or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @2.05
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Luxembourg U21 vs France U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
France U21 travel to face Luxembourg U21 on Thursday 26 March in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification, with Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Luxembourg U21 are 6th on 1 points after 10 matches; France U21 are 1st with 26. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Luxembourg U21 1.2 xG, France U21 2.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Luxembourg U21 13%, draw 18%, France U21 69%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luxembourg U21 1–2 France U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Luxembourg U2113%fair 7.74 · @15.00
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @6.40
France U2169%fair 1.45 · @1.14
3.59Expected goals
1.17Luxembourg U21 xG
2.42France U21 xG
60%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Luxembourg U21 1.2 – 2.4 France U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Luxembourg U21
France U21
Attack vs UEFA U21 Championship Qualification average
-5%
+42%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-20%
Our expected goals here
1.40
2.34
Our own ratings from every UEFA U21 Championship Qualification result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
France U21 to win✓
69%
1.45
1.14
Double chance
France U21 or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
France U21 (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
France U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.33
First team to score
France U21 to score first✓
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
France U21 ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT France U21 / FT France U21✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Luxembourg U21
No recent results on record.
France U21
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luxembourg U21 and France U21.
What is the prediction for Luxembourg U21 vs France U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Luxembourg U21 vs France U21?
On our numbers Luxembourg U21 have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 18% and France U21 69%.
How many goals will there be in Luxembourg U21 vs France U21?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luxembourg U21 vs France U21?
Our predicted score is Luxembourg U21 1–2 France U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Luxembourg U21 vs France U21?
Luxembourg U21 vs France U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Iceland U216
Estonia U212
San Marino U210
Finland U218
Moldova U211
North Macedonia U210