Finland U21 12%Draw 24%Spain U21 65%Expected goals 1.26 – 2.74
65%
Betarazi pick
Spain U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSpain U21 to win ✗65% · @1.40
Double chanceSpain U21 or draw ✗88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Finland U21 vs Spain U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 25 September the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification brings Finland U21 against Spain U21 at Tammelan Stadion. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Finland U21 are 3rd on 19 points after 10 matches; Spain U21 are 1st with 24.
Current form
Finland U21, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Norway U21, away. Scoring is no problem – 4.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Finland U21 1.3 xG, Spain U21 2.7 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Finland U21 12%, draw 24%, Spain U21 65%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spain U21 to win (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finland U21 1–2 Spain U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Finland U2112%fair 8.66 · @6.00
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.90
Spain U2165%fair 1.55 · @1.40
4.00Expected goals
1.26Finland U21 xG
2.74Spain U21 xG
61%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–27%
1–16%
0–36%
2–25%
From our goals model: Finland U21 1.3 – 2.7 Spain U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain U21 to win✗
65%
1.55
1.40
Double chance
Spain U21 or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Spain U21 (draw no bet)✗
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Spain U21 -1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Spain U21 to score first✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Spain U21 ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain U21 / FT Spain U21✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Finland U21 – last 4
WWWW
8 Jun
@ Norway U21
2–0
W
4 Jun
@ Sweden U21
3–1
W
31 Mar
vs Cyprus U21
3–0
W
26 Mar
@ San Marino U21
8–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Spain U21 – last 2
WW
31 Mar
vs Kosovo U21
2–0
W
27 Mar
@ Cyprus U21
7–0
W
4.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Finland U21 and Spain U21.
What is the prediction for Finland U21 vs Spain U21?
Our pick is Spain U21 to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Finland U21 vs Spain U21?
On our numbers Finland U21 have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spain U21 65%.
How many goals will there be in Finland U21 vs Spain U21?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Finland U21 vs Spain U21?
Our predicted score is Finland U21 1–2 Spain U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Finland U21 vs Spain U21?
Finland U21 vs Spain U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Tammelan Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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