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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Iceland U21 v France U21: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT
Iceland U21 13%Draw 19%France U21 68% Expected goals 1.11 – 2.58
68%
Betarazi pick

France U21 to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 60% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFrance U21 to win ✗68% · @1.30
Double chanceFrance U21 or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @2.10
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84

Iceland U21 vs France U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 25 September the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification brings Iceland U21 against France U21. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Iceland U21 are 9th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 8 matches; France U21 are 1st (leading the league) with 26. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

France U21, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Austria U18, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Mar 2026) it ended France U21 2–1 Iceland U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Iceland U21 1.1 xG, France U21 2.6 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Iceland U21 13%, draw 19%, France U21 68%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was France U21 to win (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iceland U21 1–2 France U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Iceland U2113%fair 7.57 · @8.00
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.20
France U2168%fair 1.47 · @1.30
3.69Expected goals
1.11Iceland U21 xG
2.58France U21 xG
60%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%

From our goals model: Iceland U21 1.1 – 2.6 France U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFrance U21 to win ✗68%1.471.30
Double chanceFrance U21 or draw ✓87%1.151.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.662.10 ▲
Draw no betFrance U21 (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapFrance U21 -1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
First team to scoreFrance U21 to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultFrance U21 ahead at half-time ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT France U21 / FT France U21 ✗46%2.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.84–

Recent results

Iceland U21 – last 2

LW
30 Mar@ France U211–2L
26 Marvs Estonia U216–2W
3.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

France U21 – last 3

DWW
23 Sepvs Austria U181–1D
30 Marvs Iceland U212–1W
26 Mar@ Luxembourg U215–1W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Mar 2026France U21 v Iceland U212–1
Iceland U21 vs France U21 head-to-head page →

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U2110910+3828
2Iceland U2110532+1818
3Greece U2110523+617
4Belarus U2110406+112
5Cyprus U2110325011
6Liechtenstein U21100010-630

More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Iceland U21 vs France U21?

Our pick is France U21 to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Iceland U21 vs France U21?

On our numbers Iceland U21 have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and France U21 68%.

How many goals will there be in Iceland U21 vs France U21?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Iceland U21 vs France U21?

Our predicted score is Iceland U21 1–2 France U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Iceland U21 vs France U21?

Iceland U21 vs France U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.