Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bulgaria U21 welcome Portugal U21 to Stadion Georgi Benkovski for a UEFA U21 Championship Qualification fixture on Friday 25 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Bulgaria U21 are 5th on 10 points after 10 matches; Portugal U21 are 1st with 28. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Portugal U21, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Northern Ireland U21, at home. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bulgaria U21 0.7 xG, Portugal U21 2.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bulgaria U21 11%, draw 15%, Portugal U21 74%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bulgaria U21 1–2 Portugal U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bulgaria U2111%fair 9.22 · @13.00
Draw15%fair 6.63 · @6.00
Portugal U2174%fair 1.35 · @1.17
2.93Expected goals
0.68Bulgaria U21 xG
2.25Portugal U21 xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–213%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Bulgaria U21 0.7 – 2.2 Portugal U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugal U21 to win✗
74%
1.35
1.17
Double chance
Portugal U21 or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Portugal U21 (draw no bet)✗
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Portugal U21 -1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Portugal U21 to score first
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Portugal U21 ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugal U21 / FT Portugal U21✗
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Bulgaria U21 – last 2
DW
31 Mar
vs Azerbaijan U21
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Gibraltar U21
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Portugal U21 – last 3
WWW
3 Jun
vs Northern Ireland U21
4–0
W
31 Mar
vs Scotland U21
3–0
W
27 Mar
@ Azerbaijan U21
4–0
W
3.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bulgaria U21 and Portugal U21.
What is the prediction for Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21?
On our numbers Bulgaria U21 have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Portugal U21 74%.
How many goals will there be in Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21?
Our predicted score is Bulgaria U21 1–2 Portugal U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21?
Bulgaria U21 vs Portugal U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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