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Netherlands U21 v Norway U21: numbers & prediction

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification · Europe · De Adelaarshorst
Netherlands U21 63%Draw 23%Norway U21 14% Expected goals 2.14 – 0.96
86%
Betarazi pick

Netherlands U21 or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Netherlands U21 to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNetherlands U21 to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceNetherlands U21 or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Netherlands U21 welcome Norway U21 to De Adelaarshorst for a UEFA U21 Championship Qualification fixture on Friday 25 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, Netherlands U21 are 1st on 26 points after 10 matches; Norway U21 are 1st with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Norway U21, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Finland U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Norway U21 3–2 Netherlands U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Netherlands U21 2.1 xG, Norway U21 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Netherlands U21 63%, draw 23%, Norway U21 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Netherlands U21 or draw (86%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Netherlands U21 to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Netherlands U21 or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Netherlands U21 2–0 Norway U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Netherlands U2163%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.50
Norway U2114%fair 7.06 · @3.50
3.10Expected goals
2.14Netherlands U21 xG
0.96Norway U21 xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Netherlands U21 2.1 – 1.0 Norway U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNetherlands U21 to win ✗63%1.591.80 ▲
Double chanceNetherlands U21 or draw ✓86%1.161.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.50
Draw no betNetherlands U21 (draw no bet)82%1.23–
Asian handicapNetherlands U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreNetherlands U21 to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultNetherlands U21 ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Netherlands U21 / FT Netherlands U21 ✗42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Netherlands U21 – last 2

WL
30 Marvs Belgium U212–1W
27 Mar@ Norway U212–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Norway U21 – last 3

LLW
8 Junvs Finland U210–2L
31 Mar@ Slovenia U210–2L
27 Marvs Netherlands U213–2W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Mar 2026Norway U21 v Netherlands U213–2
Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21 head-to-head page →

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U2110802+1524
2Croatia U2110712+1522
3Finland U2110613+519
4Austria U2110514+916
5Azerbaijan U2110217-127
6Estonia U21100010-320

More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21?

Our pick is Netherlands U21 or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21?

On our numbers Netherlands U21 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Norway U21 14%.

How many goals will there be in Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21?

Our predicted score is Netherlands U21 2–0 Norway U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21?

Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at De Adelaarshorst.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.