Bulgaria U21 v Scotland U21 Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBulgaria U21 to win ✗40% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Bulgaria U21 vs Scotland U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bulgaria U21 welcome Scotland U21 to Stadion Georgi Benkovski for a UEFA U21 Championship Qualification fixture on Tuesday 6 October (17:30 WAT). In the table, Bulgaria U21 are 5th on 10 points after 10 matches; Scotland U21 are 4th with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bulgaria U21, last 4: LWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Czech Republic U21, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Scotland U21, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Azerbaijan U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bulgaria U21 1.5 xG, Scotland U21 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bulgaria U21 40%, draw 23%, Scotland U21 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bulgaria U21 1–1 Scotland U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bulgaria U2140%fair 2.52 · @2.45

Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.00

Scotland U2137%fair 2.69 · @2.50

2.89Expected goals

1.47Bulgaria U21 xG

1.42Scotland U21 xG

60%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

2–19%

1–28%

1–08%

0–18%

2–26%

From our goals model: Bulgaria U21 1.5 – 1.4 Scotland U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Bulgaria U21 to win ✗	40%	2.52	2.45
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.68	1.75
Draw no bet	Bulgaria U21 (draw no bet) ✗	52%	1.94	–
Asian handicap	Scotland U21 +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.81	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	–
First team to score	Bulgaria U21 to score first ✗	48%	2.08	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.46	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Bulgaria U21 / FT Bulgaria U21 ✗	23%	4.39	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.70	–

Bulgaria U21 – last 4

LWDW

30 Sep	@ Czech Republic U21	0–1	L
25 Sep	vs Portugal U21	2–1	W
31 Mar	vs Azerbaijan U21	0–0	D
27 Mar	@ Gibraltar U21	1–0	W

0.8Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

25%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

Scotland U21 – last 3

WLD

30 Sep	vs Azerbaijan U21	5–2	W
31 Mar	@ Portugal U21	0–3	L
27 Mar	vs Czech Republic U21	0–0	D

1.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands U21	10	8	2	0	+29	26
2	Switzerland U21	10	7	2	1	+16	23
3	Moldova U21	10	3	3	4	-5	12
4	Wales U21	10	3	2	5	+1	11
5	Bulgaria U21	10	2	4	4	-1	10
6	Gibraltar U21	10	0	1	9	-40	1

Team

Pts

+29

+16

-5

-1

-40

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bulgaria U21 vs Scotland U21?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Bulgaria U21 vs Scotland U21?

On our numbers Bulgaria U21 have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Scotland U21 37%.

How many goals will there be in Bulgaria U21 vs Scotland U21?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bulgaria U21 vs Scotland U21?

Our predicted score is Bulgaria U21 1–1 Scotland U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Bulgaria U21 vs Scotland U21?

Bulgaria U21 vs Scotland U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Georgi Benkovski.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Bulgaria U21 v Scotland U21: numbers & prediction