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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Northern Ireland U21 v Greece U21: numbers & prediction

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification · Europe · Mourneview Park

Northern Ireland U21

DWLWL
0–1
FT

Greece U21

WWDLL
Northern Ireland U21 16%Draw 18%Greece U21 66% Expected goals 1.02 – 2.26
66%
Betarazi pick

Greece U21 to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGreece U21 to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceGreece U21 or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Tuesday 6 October: Northern Ireland U21 v Greece U21 in the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification, played at Mourneview Park. In the table, Northern Ireland U21 are 3rd on 7 points after 8 matches; Greece U21 are 3rd with 17.

Current form

Northern Ireland U21, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Georgia U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Greece U21, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Latvia U21, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Northern Ireland U21 1.0 xG, Greece U21 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Northern Ireland U21 16%, draw 18%, Greece U21 66%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Greece U21 to win (66%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Northern Ireland U21 1–2 Greece U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Northern Ireland U2116%fair 6.24 · @9.00
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.80
Greece U2166%fair 1.52 · @1.25
3.28Expected goals
1.02Northern Ireland U21 xG
2.26Greece U21 xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Northern Ireland U21 1.0 – 2.3 Greece U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGreece U21 to win ✓66%1.521.25
Double chanceGreece U21 or draw ✓84%1.191.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.95 ▲
Draw no betGreece U21 (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapGreece U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
First team to scoreGreece U21 to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultGreece U21 ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Greece U21 / FT Greece U21 ✓43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Northern Ireland U21 – last 5

DWLWL
1 Octvs Georgia U211–1D
26 Sep@ Malta U214–0W
3 Jun@ Portugal U210–4L
31 Mar@ Latvia U213–1W
27 Mar@ Germany U210–3L
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Greece U21 – last 6

WWDLLW
1 Octvs Latvia U214–2W
26 Sep@ Georgia U213–0W
30 May@ Croatia U211–1D
27 Mayvs Qatar U201–2L
31 Marvs Germany U210–2L
27 Marvs Malta U215–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Northern Ireland U21 and Greece U21.

Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21 head-to-head page →

UEFA U21 Championship Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U218800+3224
2Slovakia U218503+815
3Northern Ireland U218215-107
4Lithuania U218215-157
5Malta U218206-156
6Russia U21000000

More UEFA U21 Championship Qualification predictions

League hub
FT Azerbaijan U213 Gibraltar U210 170%1.12X20%7.00210%13.00 2.9–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@2.00 ✗
FT Moldova U213 Kazakhstan U212 141%2.30X23%3.00236%2.62 1.5–1.4xG 12Either team to win 77%@1.33 ✓
FT Latvia U212 Malta U210 169%1.30X17%4.50214%8.50 2.5–1.0xG 1Latvia U21 to win 69%@1.30 ✓
FT Germany U212 Georgia U210 180%1.07X13%9.5027%26.00 2.7–0.7xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.15 ✗
FT Bulgaria U210 Scotland U212 140%2.45X23%3.00237%2.50 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.75 ✗
FT Denmark U210 Belgium U210 135%2.50X23%3.00242%2.50 1.2–1.4xG 12Either team to win 77%@1.33 ✗
FT Wales U211 Austria U217 118%3.80X20%3.30262%1.75 1.0–2.1xG X2Austria U21 or draw 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Netherlands U214 Bosnia-Herzegovina U210 174%1.10X15%7.50211%21.00 1.8–0.4xG NGNot both teams to score 56%@1.55 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21?

Our pick is Greece U21 to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21?

On our numbers Northern Ireland U21 have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Greece U21 66%.

How many goals will there be in Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21?

Our predicted score is Northern Ireland U21 1–2 Greece U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21?

Northern Ireland U21 vs Greece U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mourneview Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.