Latvia U21 vs Malta U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 6 October the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification brings Latvia U21 against Malta U21 at Daugavas stadions. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Latvia U21 are 5th on 7 points after 10 matches; Malta U21 are 5th with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Latvia U21, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Greece U21, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Malta U21, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Germany U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Latvia U21 2.5 xG, Malta U21 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Latvia U21 69%, draw 17%, Malta U21 14%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Latvia U21 to win (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Latvia U21 2–1 Malta U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Latvia U2169%fair 1.45 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @4.50
Malta U2114%fair 7.37 · @8.50
3.56Expected goals
2.52Latvia U21 xG
1.04Malta U21 xG
57%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Latvia U21 2.5 – 1.0 Malta U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Latvia U21 to win✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Double chance
Latvia U21 or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
Latvia U21 (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Latvia U21 -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
Latvia U21 to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Latvia U21 ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Latvia U21 / FT Latvia U21✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Latvia U21 – last 4
LLLD
1 Oct
@ Greece U21
2–4
L
26 Sep
vs Germany U21
0–4
L
31 Mar
vs Northern Ireland U21
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Georgia U21
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Malta U21 – last 5
LLLLL
30 Sep
vs Germany U21
1–4
L
26 Sep
vs Northern Ireland U21
0–4
L
4 Jun
@ Moldova U21
0–3
L
31 Mar
@ Georgia U21
1–4
L
27 Mar
@ Greece U21
0–5
L
0.4Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latvia U21 and Malta U21.
What is the prediction for Latvia U21 vs Malta U21?
Our pick is Latvia U21 to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Latvia U21 vs Malta U21?
On our numbers Latvia U21 have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Malta U21 14%.
How many goals will there be in Latvia U21 vs Malta U21?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latvia U21 vs Malta U21?
Our predicted score is Latvia U21 2–1 Malta U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Latvia U21 vs Malta U21?
Latvia U21 vs Malta U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.