Wales U21 18%Draw 20%Austria U21 62%Expected goals 1.01 – 2.06
82%
Betarazi pick
Austria U21 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Austria U21 to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAustria U21 to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceAustria U21 or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Wales U21 vs Austria U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 6 October the UEFA U21 Championship Qualification brings Wales U21 against Austria U21 at The Oval. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Wales U21 are 4th on 11 points after 10 matches; Austria U21 are 4th with 16.
Current form
Wales U21, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Belgium U21, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Austria U21, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Denmark U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wales U21 1.0 xG, Austria U21 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wales U21 18%, draw 20%, Austria U21 62%.
Lower-risk option: Austria U21 or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Austria U21 to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Austria U21 or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wales U21 1–2 Austria U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wales U2118%fair 5.52 · @3.80
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.30
Austria U2162%fair 1.62 · @1.75
3.07Expected goals
1.01Wales U21 xG
2.06Austria U21 xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–210%
1–110%
0–110%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Wales U21 1.0 – 2.1 Austria U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Austria U21 to win✓
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Austria U21 or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Draw no bet
Austria U21 (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Austria U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
Austria U21 to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Austria U21 ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Austria U21 / FT Austria U21✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Wales U21 – last 3
LLW
29 Sep
@ Belgium U21
0–1
L
31 Mar
@ Denmark U21
0–4
L
27 Mar
vs Belarus U21
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Austria U21 – last 3
DWL
2 Oct
vs Denmark U21
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Belarus U21
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Belgium U21
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wales U21 and Austria U21.
What is the prediction for Wales U21 vs Austria U21?
Our pick is Austria U21 or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Wales U21 vs Austria U21?
On our numbers Wales U21 have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Austria U21 62%.
How many goals will there be in Wales U21 vs Austria U21?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wales U21 vs Austria U21?
Our predicted score is Wales U21 1–2 Austria U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Wales U21 vs Austria U21?
Wales U21 vs Austria U21 (UEFA U21 Championship Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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