15:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Pisa v Cagliari in the Serie A, played at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Current form
Pisa, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bologna, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pisa 1.3 xG, Cagliari 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pisa 38%, draw 29%, Cagliari 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pisa 1–1 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pisa38%fair 2.63 · @2.50
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.80
Cagliari33%fair 3.00 · @3.00
2.49Expected goals
1.33Pisa xG
1.16Cagliari xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Pisa 1.3 – 1.2 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pisa to win✓
38%
2.63
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Pisa (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Cagliari +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Pisa to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pisa / FT Pisa✓
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Pisa – last 3
LLL
2 Mar
vs Bologna
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Fiorentina
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs AC Milan
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 2
DL
27 Feb
@ Parma
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Lecce
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pisa and Cagliari.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Pisa vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Pisa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Cagliari 33%.
How many goals will there be in Pisa vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Pisa 1–1 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pisa vs Cagliari?
Pisa vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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