Value bet: Hellas Verona to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHellas Verona to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Hellas Verona vs Genoa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Genoa travel to face Hellas Verona on Sunday 15 March in the Serie A, with Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT.
Current form
Hellas Verona, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bologna, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Genoa, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AS Roma, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Genoa, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Hellas Verona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hellas Verona 1.5 xG, Genoa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hellas Verona 39%, draw 27%, Genoa 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Hellas Verona to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hellas Verona 1–1 Genoa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hellas Verona39%fair 2.56 · @3.10
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.90
Genoa34%fair 2.94 · @2.38
2.61Expected goals
1.49Hellas Verona xG
1.12Genoa xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hellas Verona 1.5 – 1.1 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hellas Verona to win✗
39%
2.56
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Hellas Verona (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Genoa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Hellas Verona to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hellas Verona / FT Hellas Verona✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Hellas Verona – last 3
WLL
8 Mar
@ Bologna
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Sassuolo
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Parma
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Genoa – last 3
WWD
8 Mar
vs AS Roma
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Torino
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Cremonese
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hellas Verona and Genoa.
What is the prediction for Hellas Verona vs Genoa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Hellas Verona vs Genoa?
On our numbers Hellas Verona have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Genoa 34%.
How many goals will there be in Hellas Verona vs Genoa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hellas Verona vs Genoa?
Our predicted score is Hellas Verona 1–1 Genoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hellas Verona vs Genoa?
Hellas Verona vs Genoa (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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