Value bet: Bologna to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBologna to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Sassuolo vs Bologna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sassuolo welcome Bologna to MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 15 March (15:00 WAT). In the table, Sassuolo are 17th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Bologna are 8th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Sassuolo, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lazio, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Bologna, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AS Roma, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sassuolo 1.4 xG, Bologna 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sassuolo 37%, draw 26%, Bologna 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Bologna to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sassuolo 1–1 Bologna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sassuolo37%fair 2.74 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.10
Bologna38%fair 2.65 · @2.90
2.87Expected goals
1.39Sassuolo xG
1.47Bologna xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 1.4 – 1.5 Bologna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bologna to win✓
38%
2.65
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Draw no bet
Bologna (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Sassuolo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Bologna to score first✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bologna / FT Bologna✓
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Sassuolo – last 4
LWWW
9 Mar
@ Lazio
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Atalanta
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Verona
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Udinese
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bologna – last 6
DLWWWW
12 Mar
vs AS Roma
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Hellas Verona
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ Pisa
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Brann
1–0
W
23 Feb
vs Udinese
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Brann
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Bologna.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Bologna?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bologna 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Bologna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Bologna?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 1–1 Bologna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Bologna?
Sassuolo vs Bologna (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hellas Verona0
Pisa3