Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtalanta to win ✓57% · @1.38
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✓81% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Atalanta vs Hellas Verona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Atalanta v Hellas Verona in the Serie A, played at New Balance Arena.
Current form
Atalanta, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Bayern München, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Hellas Verona, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Genoa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atalanta 1.6 xG, Hellas Verona 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atalanta 57%, draw 24%, Hellas Verona 19%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atalanta 1–1 Hellas Verona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atalanta57%fair 1.75 · @1.38
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @4.40
Hellas Verona19%fair 5.27 · @8.50
2.66Expected goals
1.60Atalanta xG
1.07Hellas Verona xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atalanta 1.6 – 1.1 Hellas Verona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✓
57%
1.75
1.38
Double chance
Atalanta or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Atalanta (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Hellas Verona +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Atalanta to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✓
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Atalanta – last 6
LLDLWW
18 Mar
@ Bayern München
1–4
L
10 Mar
vs Bayern München
1–6
L
4 Mar
@ Lazio
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Sassuolo
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Borussia Dortmund
4–1
W
22 Feb
vs Napoli
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hellas Verona – last 4
LWLL
15 Mar
vs Genoa
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Bologna
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Sassuolo
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Parma
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atalanta and Hellas Verona.
What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Hellas Verona?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atalanta vs Hellas Verona?
On our numbers Atalanta have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hellas Verona 19%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Hellas Verona?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Hellas Verona?
Our predicted score is Atalanta 1–1 Hellas Verona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atalanta vs Hellas Verona?
Atalanta vs Hellas Verona (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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