Value bet: Lazio to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBologna to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.95
Bologna vs Lazio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Serie A brings Bologna against Lazio at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Bologna are 8th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Lazio are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bologna, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with AS Roma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lazio, last 4: WWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AC Milan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bologna 1.2 xG, Lazio 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bologna 38%, draw 26%, Lazio 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Lazio to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bologna 1–1 Lazio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bologna38%fair 2.66 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.00
Lazio36%fair 2.78 · @3.30
2.60Expected goals
1.23Bologna xG
1.37Lazio xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bologna 1.2 – 1.4 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bologna to win✗
38%
2.66
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
Bologna (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Bologna +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Lazio to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.95
–
Recent results
Bologna – last 6
DWDLWW
19 Mar
@ AS Roma
3–3
D
15 Mar
@ Sassuolo
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs AS Roma
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Hellas Verona
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ Pisa
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Brann
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lazio – last 4
WWDL
15 Mar
vs AC Milan
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Sassuolo
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Atalanta
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Torino
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bologna and Lazio.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bologna vs Lazio?
On our numbers Bologna have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lazio 36%.
How many goals will there be in Bologna vs Lazio?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Bologna 1–1 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bologna vs Lazio?
Bologna vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pisa0
Hellas Verona0