Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultBournemouth to win ✗61% · @1.74
Double chanceBournemouth or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Bournemouth vs Sunderland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Bournemouth v Sunderland in the Premier League, played at Vitality Stadium. In the table, Bournemouth are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Sunderland are 19th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bournemouth 2.0 xG, Sunderland 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bournemouth 61%, draw 23%, Sunderland 17%.
Lower-risk option: Bournemouth or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bournemouth or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bournemouth 1–0 Sunderland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bournemouth61%fair 1.65 · @1.74
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.70
Sunderland17%fair 6.02 · @4.40
2.82Expected goals
1.96Bournemouth xG
0.87Sunderland xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 2.0 – 0.9 Sunderland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bournemouth to win✗
61%
1.65
1.74 ▲
Double chance
Bournemouth or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Draw no bet
Bournemouth (draw no bet)
78%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Bournemouth -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
Bournemouth to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Bournemouth ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Bournemouth
No recent results on record.
Sunderland – last 2
LW
22 Feb
vs Fulham
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Oxford United
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bournemouth and Sunderland.
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Our pick is Bournemouth or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sunderland 17%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–0 Sunderland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Sunderland?
Bournemouth vs Sunderland (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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