Newcastle vs Everton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Everton travel to face Newcastle on Saturday 28 February in the Premier League, with St. James' Park the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Newcastle are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Everton are 6th (upper half) with 16.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle 1.4 xG, Everton 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle 49%, draw 24%, Everton 26%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle 1–1 Everton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle49%fair 2.02 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.95
Everton26%fair 3.78 · @4.40
2.68Expected goals
1.43Newcastle xG
1.25Everton xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Newcastle 1.4 – 1.3 Everton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle to win
49%
2.02
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.70
Draw no bet
Newcastle (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Everton +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.17
First team to score
Newcastle to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle / FT Newcastle
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Newcastle – last 2
WW
24 Feb
vs Qarabag
3–2
W
18 Feb
@ Qarabag
6–1
W
4.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Everton – last 1
L
23 Feb
vs Manchester United
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Everton.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Everton 26%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Everton?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Everton?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–1 Everton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Everton?
Newcastle vs Everton (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at St. James' Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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