Leeds 23%Draw 23%Manchester City 54%Expected goals 1.24 – 1.71
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester City to win54% · @1.61
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.54
Leeds vs Manchester City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leeds welcome Manchester City to Elland Road for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 28 February (18:30 WAT). In the table, Leeds are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Manchester City are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leeds 1.2 xG, Manchester City 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leeds 23%, draw 23%, Manchester City 54%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leeds 1–1 Manchester City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leeds23%fair 4.34 · @4.75
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @4.20
Manchester City54%fair 1.84 · @1.61
2.94Expected goals
1.24Leeds xG
1.71Manchester City xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Leeds 1.2 – 1.7 Manchester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City to win
54%
1.84
1.61
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.73
Draw no bet
Manchester City (draw no bet)
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Leeds +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
Manchester City to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City / FT Manchester City
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Leeds – last 1
D
21 Feb
@ Aston Villa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Manchester City
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leeds and Manchester City.
What is the prediction for Leeds vs Manchester City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Leeds vs Manchester City?
On our numbers Leeds have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Manchester City 54%.
How many goals will there be in Leeds vs Manchester City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs Manchester City?
Our predicted score is Leeds 1–1 Manchester City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Leeds vs Manchester City?
Leeds vs Manchester City (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Elland Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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