Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Bournemouth to win @ 2.46 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBournemouth to win ✗44% · @2.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Bournemouth vs Brentford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bournemouth welcome Brentford to Vitality Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Tuesday 3 March (20:30 WAT). In the table, Bournemouth are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Brentford are 8th (upper half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bournemouth 1.8 xG, Brentford 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bournemouth 44%, draw 23%, Brentford 33%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Bournemouth to win @2.46 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bournemouth 1–1 Brentford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bournemouth44%fair 2.26 · @2.46
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.60
Brentford33%fair 3.06 · @2.60
3.18Expected goals
1.81Bournemouth xG
1.37Brentford xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Bournemouth 1.8 – 1.4 Brentford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bournemouth to win✗
44%
2.26
2.46 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Draw no bet
Bournemouth (draw no bet)
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Brentford +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
First team to score
Bournemouth to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Bournemouth – last 1
D
28 Feb
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Brentford – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Brighton
0–2
L
16 Feb
@ Macclesfield
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bournemouth and Brentford.
What is the prediction for Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Brentford?
On our numbers Bournemouth have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brentford 33%.
How many goals will there be in Bournemouth vs Brentford?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Our predicted score is Bournemouth 1–1 Brentford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Bournemouth vs Brentford?
Bournemouth vs Brentford (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Vitality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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