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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Wolves v Liverpool: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Molineux Stadium

Wolves

WLDW
2–1
FT
Wolves 23%Draw 23%Liverpool 54% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.65
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultLiverpool to win ✗54% · @1.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.60

Wolves vs Liverpool: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Liverpool travel to face Wolves on Tuesday 3 March in the Premier League, with Molineux Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 21:15 WAT.

Current form

Wolves, last 4: WLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Aston Villa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wolves 1.2 xG, Liverpool 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wolves 23%, draw 23%, Liverpool 54%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wolves 1–1 Liverpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wolves23%fair 4.29 · @6.20
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @4.45
Liverpool54%fair 1.85 · @1.46
2.86Expected goals
1.21Wolves xG
1.65Liverpool xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Wolves 1.2 – 1.7 Liverpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLiverpool to win ✗54%1.851.46
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.73
Draw no betLiverpool (draw no bet) ✗70%1.43–
Asian handicapWolves +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.551.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.20
First team to scoreLiverpool to score first54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Liverpool / FT Liverpool ✗29%3.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.60–

Recent results

Wolves – last 4

WLDW
27 Febvs Aston Villa2–0W
22 Feb@ Crystal Palace0–1L
18 Febvs Arsenal2–2D
15 Feb@ Grimsby1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Liverpool – last 1

W
22 Feb@ Nottingham Forest1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Wolves and Liverpool.

Wolves vs Liverpool head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wolves vs Liverpool?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Wolves vs Liverpool?

On our numbers Wolves have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Liverpool 54%.

How many goals will there be in Wolves vs Liverpool?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wolves vs Liverpool?

Our predicted score is Wolves 1–1 Liverpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Wolves vs Liverpool?

Wolves vs Liverpool (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Molineux Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.