Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.23
Everton vs Burnley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Everton welcome Burnley to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Tuesday 3 March (20:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Everton 2.0 xG, Burnley 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Everton 64%, draw 23%, Burnley 13%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton 2–0 Burnley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Everton64%fair 1.55 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.80
Burnley13%fair 7.78 · @5.90
2.80Expected goals
2.00Everton xG
0.79Burnley xG
49%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Everton 2.0 – 0.8 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Everton to win✓
64%
1.55
1.57
Double chance
Everton or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
Everton (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Everton -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Everton to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Everton ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Everton / FT Everton✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
12.23
–
Recent results
Everton – last 1
L
23 Feb
vs Manchester United
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 1
D
21 Feb
@ Chelsea
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Everton and Burnley.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Everton vs Burnley?
On our numbers Everton have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Burnley 13%.
How many goals will there be in Everton vs Burnley?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is Everton 2–0 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Everton vs Burnley?
Everton vs Burnley (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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