Manchester City 64%Draw 22%Nottingham Forest 14%Expected goals 1.98 – 0.89
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester City to win ✗64% · @1.40
Double chanceManchester City or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 4 March the Premier League brings Manchester City against Nottingham Forest at Etihad Stadium. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Manchester City are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Nottingham Forest are 16th (lower half) with 9. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nottingham Forest, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Brighton, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester City 2.0 xG, Nottingham Forest 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester City 64%, draw 22%, Nottingham Forest 14%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester City 2–0 Nottingham Forest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester City64%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.55
Nottingham Forest14%fair 7.25 · @7.30
2.87Expected goals
1.98Manchester City xG
0.89Nottingham Forest xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Manchester City 2.0 – 0.9 Nottingham Forest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City to win✗
64%
1.55
1.40
Double chance
Manchester City or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.77
Draw no bet
Manchester City (draw no bet)
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Manchester City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
First team to score
Manchester City to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Manchester City ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City / FT Manchester City✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Manchester City
No recent results on record.
Nottingham Forest – last 4
LLLW
1 Mar
@ Brighton
1–2
L
26 Feb
vs Fenerbahçe
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Liverpool
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ Fenerbahçe
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester City and Nottingham Forest.
What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
On our numbers Manchester City have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nottingham Forest 14%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
Our predicted score is Manchester City 2–0 Nottingham Forest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest?
Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Etihad Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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