Newcastle 36%Draw 23%Manchester United 41%Expected goals 1.55 – 1.71
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester United to win ✗41% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Newcastle vs Manchester United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:15 WAT, Wednesday 4 March: Newcastle v Manchester United in the Premier League, played at St. James' Park. In the table, Newcastle are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Manchester United are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle 1.5 xG, Manchester United 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle 36%, draw 23%, Manchester United 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle 1–1 Manchester United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle36%fair 2.81 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.65
Manchester United41%fair 2.42 · @2.44
3.26Expected goals
1.55Newcastle xG
1.71Manchester United xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Newcastle 1.5 – 1.7 Manchester United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United to win✗
41%
2.42
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Draw no bet
Manchester United (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
Manchester United to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United / FT Manchester United✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Newcastle – last 2
WW
24 Feb
vs Qarabag
3–2
W
18 Feb
@ Qarabag
6–1
W
4.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Manchester United – last 2
WW
1 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Everton
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Manchester United.
What is the prediction for Newcastle vs Manchester United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Newcastle vs Manchester United?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Manchester United 41%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Manchester United?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Manchester United?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–1 Manchester United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs Manchester United?
Newcastle vs Manchester United (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at St. James' Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
West Ham1