Brighton 62%Draw 19%Manchester United 19%Expected goals 2.19 – 0.95
62%
Betarazi pick
Brighton to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.79 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.79Odds
Picks by market
ResultBrighton to win ✗62% · @1.79
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Brighton vs Manchester United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Brighton v Manchester United in the Premier League, played at Amex Stadium. In the table, Brighton are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 10 matches; Manchester United are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Brighton, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leeds, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Manchester United, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Nottingham Forest, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brighton 2.2 xG, Manchester United 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brighton 62%, draw 19%, Manchester United 19%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Brighton to win (62%, odds 1.79 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brighton 2–0 Manchester United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brighton62%fair 1.60 · @1.79
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @4.00
Manchester United19%fair 5.29 · @3.80
3.15Expected goals
2.19Brighton xG
0.95Manchester United xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Brighton 2.2 – 1.0 Manchester United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win✗
62%
1.60
1.79 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.45
Draw no bet
Brighton (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Brighton -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.28
First team to score
Brighton to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Brighton ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Brighton – last 5
LWLWW
17 May
@ Leeds
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Chelsea
3–0
W
4 Mar
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Nottingham Forest
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Brentford
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Manchester United – last 6
WWLDWL
17 May
vs Nottingham Forest
3–2
W
27 Apr
vs Brentford
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Leeds
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Bournemouth
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Aston Villa
3–1
W
4 Mar
@ Newcastle
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brighton and Manchester United.
What is the prediction for Brighton vs Manchester United?
Our pick is Brighton to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.79.
Who will win Brighton vs Manchester United?
On our numbers Brighton have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Manchester United 19%.
How many goals will there be in Brighton vs Manchester United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Manchester United?
Our predicted score is Brighton 2–0 Manchester United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Brighton vs Manchester United?
Brighton vs Manchester United (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Amex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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