Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Burnley v Wolves: numbers & prediction

Premier League · England · Turf Moor

Burnley

LDLLL
1–1
FT

Wolves

DLDLW
Burnley 35%Draw 24%Wolves 41% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.59
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Wolves to win @ 2.86 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultWolves to win ✗41% · @2.86
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.81

Burnley vs Wolves: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wolves travel to face Burnley on Sunday 24 May in the Premier League, with Turf Moor the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Burnley, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Arsenal, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Wolves, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fulham, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Wolves, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Burnley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Burnley 1.2 xG, Wolves 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Burnley 35%, draw 24%, Wolves 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Wolves to win @2.86 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burnley 1–1 Wolves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Burnley35%fair 2.88 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.55
Wolves41%fair 2.42 · @2.86
2.84Expected goals
1.25Burnley xG
1.59Wolves xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Burnley 1.2 – 1.6 Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWolves to win ✗41%2.422.86 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.57
Draw no betWolves (draw no bet)54%1.84–
Asian handicapBurnley +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.17
First team to scoreWolves to score first ✓53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wolves / FT Wolves ✗27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.81–

Recent results

Burnley – last 6

LDLLLL
18 May@ Arsenal0–1L
10 Mayvs Aston Villa2–2D
1 May@ Leeds1–3L
22 Aprvs Manchester City0–1L
19 Apr@ Nottingham Forest1–4L
3 Mar@ Everton0–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Wolves – last 6

DLDLWW
17 Mayvs Fulham1–1D
10 Apr@ West Ham0–4L
16 Mar@ Brentford2–2D
6 Marvs Liverpool1–3L
3 Marvs Liverpool2–1W
27 Febvs Aston Villa2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Burnley and Wolves.

Burnley vs Wolves head-to-head page →

More Premier League predictions

League hub
FT Brighton0 Manchester United3 162%1.79X19%4.00219%3.80 2.2–1.0xG 1Brighton to win 62%@1.79 ✗
FT Crystal Palace1 Arsenal2 118%3.95X24%3.90258%1.78 0.9–1.8xG X2Arsenal or draw 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Fulham2 Newcastle0 139%2.80X25%3.60236%2.30 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Liverpool1 Brentford1 152%1.81X19%4.20229%3.60 1.8–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.45 ✓
FT Manchester City1 Aston Villa2 164%1.26X17%6.25218%8.40 2.2–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.28 ✓
FT Nottingham Forest1 Bournemouth1 127%3.30X24%3.75249%2.00 1.1–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.55 ✓
FT Sunderland2 Chelsea1 131%3.50X24%3.65245%1.97 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Tottenham1 Everton0 148%1.87X27%3.55225%3.95 1.4–1.1xG 1XTottenham or draw 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burnley vs Wolves?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Burnley vs Wolves?

On our numbers Burnley have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wolves 41%.

How many goals will there be in Burnley vs Wolves?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Burnley vs Wolves?

Our predicted score is Burnley 1–1 Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Burnley vs Wolves?

Burnley vs Wolves (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Turf Moor.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.