Value bet: Sunderland to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChelsea to win ✗45% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Sunderland vs Chelsea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 24 May the Premier League brings Sunderland against Chelsea at Stadium of Light. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Sunderland are 19th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Chelsea are 5th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Sunderland, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Everton, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Chelsea, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tottenham, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sunderland, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Chelsea.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sunderland 1.3 xG, Chelsea 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sunderland 31%, draw 24%, Chelsea 45%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Sunderland to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sunderland 1–1 Chelsea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sunderland31%fair 3.21 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.65
Chelsea45%fair 2.22 · @1.97
2.88Expected goals
1.32Sunderland xG
1.56Chelsea xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sunderland 1.3 – 1.6 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelsea to win✗
45%
2.22
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
Chelsea (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Sunderland +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.15
First team to score
Chelsea to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelsea / FT Chelsea✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
Sunderland – last 6
WLWLWD
17 May
@ Everton
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ Aston Villa
3–4
L
22 Mar
@ Newcastle
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Port Vale
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Leeds
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Bournemouth
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chelsea – last 6
WDLLLL
19 May
vs Tottenham
2–1
W
9 May
@ Liverpool
1–1
D
4 May
vs Nottingham Forest
1–3
L
21 Apr
@ Brighton
0–3
L
17 Mar
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–3
L
11 Mar
@ Paris Saint Germain
2–5
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sunderland and Chelsea.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sunderland vs Chelsea?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chelsea 45%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Chelsea?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Our predicted score is Sunderland 1–1 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Sunderland vs Chelsea (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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