Value bet: Fulham to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFulham to win ✓39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Fulham vs Newcastle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newcastle travel to face Fulham on Sunday 24 May in the Premier League, with Craven Cottage the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Fulham are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Newcastle are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fulham, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wolves, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Newcastle, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over West Ham, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fulham 1.5 xG, Newcastle 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fulham 39%, draw 25%, Newcastle 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Fulham to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fulham 1–1 Newcastle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fulham39%fair 2.57 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.60
Newcastle36%fair 2.77 · @2.30
2.71Expected goals
1.48Fulham xG
1.23Newcastle xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Fulham 1.5 – 1.2 Newcastle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fulham to win✓
39%
2.57
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.50
Draw no bet
Fulham (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
First team to score
Fulham to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fulham / FT Fulham✓
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Fulham – last 6
DDLLWW
17 May
@ Wolves
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Nottingham Forest
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Southampton
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs West Ham
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Tottenham
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Sunderland
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Newcastle – last 6
WDLLDW
17 May
vs West Ham
3–1
W
10 May
@ Nottingham Forest
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Sunderland
1–2
L
18 Mar
@ Barcelona
2–7
L
10 Mar
vs Barcelona
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Manchester United
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fulham and Newcastle.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?
On our numbers Fulham have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Newcastle 36%.
How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Newcastle?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Newcastle?
Our predicted score is Fulham 1–1 Newcastle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fulham vs Newcastle?
Fulham vs Newcastle (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Craven Cottage.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burnley1
Wolves1