De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 February the Eerste Divisie brings De Graafschap against Jong Utrecht at De Vijverberg. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, De Graafschap are 1st, leading the league, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong Utrecht are 20th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give De Graafschap 2.0 xG, Jong Utrecht 1.4 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – De Graafschap 54%, draw 22%, Jong Utrecht 24%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.43.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.43). Most likely score in line with that pick: De Graafschap 2–1 Jong Utrecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
De Graafschap54%fair 1.84 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.10
Jong Utrecht24%fair 4.16 · @4.00
3.49Expected goals
2.05De Graafschap xG
1.44Jong Utrecht xG
69%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–27%
1–26%
2–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: De Graafschap 2.0 – 1.4 Jong Utrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
De Graafschap
Jong Utrecht
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-13%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+25%
Our expected goals here
1.97
1.57
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.46
1.43
Draw no bet
De Graafschap (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Jong Utrecht +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.37
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.31
First team to score
De Graafschap to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
De Graafschap ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap✗
32%
3.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
De Graafschap – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Jong PSV U21
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Jong Utrecht – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Willem II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between De Graafschap and Jong Utrecht.
What is the prediction for De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
On our numbers De Graafschap have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jong Utrecht 24%.
How many goals will there be in De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
Our predicted score is De Graafschap 2–1 Jong Utrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Vijverberg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3
Willem II3