Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.63 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.63Odds
Picks by market
ResultDordrecht to win ✗52% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 20 February: Dordrecht v Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie, played at M-Scores Stadion. In the table, Dordrecht are 4th, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong Ajax are 18th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dordrecht 1.8 xG, Jong Ajax 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dordrecht 52%, draw 22%, Jong Ajax 26%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.63.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.63 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dordrecht 1–1 Jong Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dordrecht52%fair 1.91 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.40
Jong Ajax26%fair 3.91 · @5.00
3.28Expected goals
1.80Dordrecht xG
1.48Jong Ajax xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Dordrecht 1.8 – 1.5 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Dordrecht
Jong Ajax
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-23%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+28%
+21%
Our expected goals here
1.69
1.86
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dordrecht to win✗
52%
1.91
1.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.63 ▲
Draw no bet
Dordrecht (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Jong Ajax +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.47
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
First team to score
Dordrecht to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dordrecht / FT Dordrecht✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
Dordrecht – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Emmen
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Jong Ajax – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Cambuur
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dordrecht and Jong Ajax.
What is the prediction for Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.
Who will win Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers Dordrecht have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jong Ajax 26%.
How many goals will there be in Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is Dordrecht 1–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax?
Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at M-Scores Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3
Willem II3