Willem II 53%Draw 22%Vitesse 25%Expected goals 1.74 – 1.10
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.51 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.51Odds
Picks by market
ResultWillem II to win ✓53% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Willem II vs Vitesse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 20 February: Willem II v Vitesse in the Eerste Divisie, played at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Willem II 1.7 xG, Vitesse 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Willem II 53%, draw 22%, Vitesse 25%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.51). Most likely score in line with that pick: Willem II 1–1 Vitesse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Willem II53%fair 1.89 · @1.93
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.70
Vitesse25%fair 4.05 · @3.30
2.83Expected goals
1.74Willem II xG
1.10Vitesse xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Willem II 1.7 – 1.1 Vitesse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Willem II
Vitesse
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+5%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.60
1.00
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Willem II to win✓
53%
1.89
1.93
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.53
Draw no bet
Willem II (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Vitesse +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.51
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.19
First team to score
Willem II to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Willem II / FT Willem II✓
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Willem II – last 1
D
16 Feb
@ Jong Utrecht
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Vitesse
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and Vitesse.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win Willem II vs Vitesse?
On our numbers Willem II have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vitesse 25%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs Vitesse?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Vitesse?
Our predicted score is Willem II 1–1 Vitesse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs Vitesse?
Willem II vs Vitesse (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag3