Aberdeen vs Dundee: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Premiership brings Aberdeen against Dundee at Pittodrie Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Aberdeen are 11th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 12 matches; Dundee are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aberdeen 1.5 xG, Dundee 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aberdeen 49%, draw 26%, Dundee 25%.
Lower-risk option: Aberdeen or draw (75%) at 1.26.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aberdeen or draw (75%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aberdeen 1–1 Dundee. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aberdeen49%fair 2.04 · @1.93
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.50
Dundee25%fair 3.94 · @3.70
2.63Expected goals
1.53Aberdeen xG
1.10Dundee xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Aberdeen 1.5 – 1.1 Dundee expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aberdeen to win✗
49%
2.04
1.93
Double chance
Aberdeen or draw✗
75%
1.34
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Aberdeen (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Dundee +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Aberdeen to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aberdeen / FT Aberdeen✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Aberdeen – last 2
WL
18 Feb
vs Motherwell
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Motherwell
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dundee
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aberdeen and Dundee.
Our pick is Aberdeen or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Dundee?
On our numbers Aberdeen have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dundee 25%.
How many goals will there be in Aberdeen vs Dundee?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Dundee?
Our predicted score is Aberdeen 1–1 Dundee, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aberdeen vs Dundee?
Aberdeen vs Dundee (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pittodrie Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
