ST Mirren 36%Draw 25%Motherwell 39%Expected goals 1.31 – 1.26
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.27
8/10Rating
1.27Odds
Picks by market
ResultMotherwell to win39% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.54
ST Mirren vs Motherwell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Motherwell travel to face ST Mirren on Saturday 21 February in the Premiership, with The SMISA Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, ST Mirren are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Motherwell are 9th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ST Mirren 1.3 xG, Motherwell 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ST Mirren 36%, draw 25%, Motherwell 39%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: ST Mirren 1–1 Motherwell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ST Mirren36%fair 2.79 · @2.85
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
Motherwell39%fair 2.55 · @2.35
2.57Expected goals
1.31ST Mirren xG
1.26Motherwell xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: ST Mirren 1.3 – 1.3 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motherwell to win
39%
2.55
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.69
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Motherwell (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Motherwell +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
ST Mirren to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ST Mirren / FT ST Mirren
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.54
–
Recent results
ST Mirren
No recent results on record.
Motherwell – last 2
LW
18 Feb
@ Aberdeen
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Aberdeen
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ST Mirren and Motherwell.
What is the prediction for ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
On our numbers ST Mirren have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Motherwell 39%.
How many goals will there be in ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is ST Mirren 1–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is ST Mirren vs Motherwell?
ST Mirren vs Motherwell (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at The SMISA Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
